Dr Boris Houenou akan Eco : "Makomar kudi ta dogara..."

L’ECO sera-t-il un jour la monnaie unique de toute l’Afrique de l’Ouest ou ne restera-t-il au mieux qu’un avatar du franc CFA ? A cikin wannan hirar, Doctor Boris Houenou, Economiste de renom et observateur des dynamiques politiques, al'amuran zamantakewa da tattalin arziki a nahiyar Afirka, s’est prêté volontiers à nos questions. Karanta maimakon !!!

Prenez-vous vraiment l’ECO comme ”nouvelle monnaie ” à venir ?

Ya dogara da wanne daga cikin ECOs muke magana akai. Canji na CFA zuwa ECO an tsara shi ne kawai a cikin yarjejeniyar da aka sabunta a cikin gabatarwar. Don haka, Ba zan iya cewa lokacin da za mu ga “ECO” da aka hatimi a rubuce a cikin UEMOA ba. Ko shakka babu shugabannin kasashen yankin sun amince da shawarar karbe ko canza suna, amma aiwatar da shi zai dauki shekaru. A wannan bangaren, idan kuna magana game da ECO na ECOWAS, Ina tsammanin yana yiwuwa, amma ba zan iya hasashen yaushe ba.

Me ke hana kammala wannan aikin? ?

A ra'ayin masu lura da al'amura da dama, Aikin ECOWAS ECO na fuskantar cikas saboda rashin son Najeriya, asymmetries na tabarbarewar tattalin arziki da hanyoyin sha a kasashen ECOWAS. Don haka, Neman macroeconomic convergence a matsayin sine qua non sharadi na zuwan kudi ya zama babban kalubale.. Ni da kaina na yi aiki a kan wannan batu, nazarin rahotanni masu zuwa kan haɗin gwiwar macroeconomic da kuma tsara kamanceninta akan lokaci. Na kai ga ƙarshe cewa binciken macroeconomic convergence a matsayin wani abin da ba za a iya sasantawa da shi ba don aikin da ke duka biyun tattalin arziki., siyasa da zamantakewa, kamar samar da kudin bai-daya, sauƙaƙan da ya wuce kima wanda ke hana aiwatar da aikin. Duk da haka, Ina da kwarin gwiwa game da habaka hadin gwiwar kasuwanci tsakanin kasashen Afirka. Misali, idan yankin ciniki cikin 'yanci na Nahiyar Afirka (BAYANI) yayi nasara, wannan na iya ba da ƴan dalili don jagoranci jinkirtawa. Wani lokaci, abubuwan da ke hanzarta taron ba su cikin tsare-tsare.

Yarjejeniyar yanzu da Benin ta amince da ita ta fi magana a kai : dakatar da tsakiya na asusun ajiyar waje a Baitul Malin Faransa ; canja wurin daga Babban Bankin Yammacin Afirka na albarkatun da ke cikin asusun aiki da kuma rufe abubuwan da aka ambata; kuma, le retrait de tous les représentants français des organes de décision et de gestion de l’UMOA… Peut-on affirmer que ce sont des avancées significatives pour la zone ?

Akan tambayar alamomin, Ina tsammanin yarjejeniyar da aka sabunta ta ba da wani nau'i na amsa. Duk da haka, Tambayar ita ce shin abin da matasan UEMOA na shiyyar UEMOA ke yi wa shugabanninsu alama ce mai sauƙi ko kuma suna sa ran samun wani yunƙuri na siyasa., ko ma cikakken gyara. Bani da amsar wannan tambayar. A mafi ci gaba nau'i na wadannan gyare-gyare, Ina son ganin ƙarin sauraro. Gyara ba tare da saurare ba rabin gyara ne. Da alama a gare ni cewa bangaren Faransa ya shirya kimanta wannan yarjejeniya, ya ba wa gungun ƙwararrun ƙwararrun rahoto mai haske ga ɗan majalisar, sannan ta shirya muhawara don tattauna muradun Faransa a cikin wannan yarjejeniya da aka yi wa kwaskwarima. Idan Faransa ta yi shi da irin wayewar demokraɗiyya da tuntuɓar juna, yaya ya fi mahimmanci ga ƙasashen da mutane ke riƙe da kuma amfani da wannan kuɗin don shirya babbar muhawara, tsari, amma bude don sauraro, domin a fara zurfafa karatun wasiyya da sukar da ke fitowa daga wadanda ba su da hannu a ciki, masu karewa, masana da wadanda ba kwararru a kan wannan batu.

Dole ne mu yi ƙoƙari don tantance duk wani gyara kafin aiwatar da su, musamman a yanayin da ake ciki na karancin kayan aiki inda ake kira da kada mu yi gyare-gyaren da ba zai cika biyan bukatun jama'a ba. Duk da haka, daidaitawa, wani nau'in gilashin da aka cika da rabi, zai iya nuna hanya a hanya madaidaiciya. Gabaɗaya, mutane, a kowace tattaunawa, musamman tare da masu wasan kwaikwayo na waje, kamata ya yi a kalli garkuwar shugabanci. Mukan manta da wannan. Kamar yadda na bayyana a sama, ba haka ba ne da wuya a gane abin da kudin ne da, Hukumar Lafiya ta Duniya, saboda yanayin zamantakewarsa, siyasa da tattalin arziki, yana buƙatar cewa mutane da yawa kamar yadda zai yiwu su sami wuri a teburin.

Waɗanne canje-canje ne za su amfanar da mutane? ?

Kamar yadda na ambata a baya, tushen kudin ya kasance ba canzawa. Don haka, ya kamata a ci gaba da gudanar da ayyukan yankin dangane da wa'adin BCEAO. Wannan ya haɗa da musamman sarrafa hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, siga wanda CFA yayi kyau sosai idan aka kwatanta da sauran yankin. Menene ƙari, an tabbatar da kwanciyar hankali na tsarin tattalin arziki musamman godiya ga kwanciyar hankali na kudin, kudin Euro, wanda aka kiyaye tsayayyen daidaito. Don haka, a cikin yanayin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, kamar yadda aka gani misali a Ghana ko ma Najeriya, CFA ta sanya kanta a matsayin mafaka, wanda tabbas dukiya ce.

Abubuwan da ba su dace ba sananne ne kuma ana muhawara sosai. Ba zan dawo gare shi anan ba.. Tun da kudin kuma yana da wani bangare na ainihi da ikon mallaka, Ina mayar da ku zuwa ga muhawara mai zafi da mahimmanci kan wannan batu. Ba za ku buƙaci lokaci mai yawa don jin su ba.

Me za ku ce gaba daya game da makomar wannan kudin? ?

Ya zama dole a jira 46 shekaru don ganin sake fasalin yarjejeniyar 1973. Ban san lokacin da nazari na gaba zai kasance ba, amma ba abu ne mai yuwuwa ba. Makomar kudin ta dogara ne akan yanayin cikin gida na WAMU, amma kuma cikin ECOWAS, ba tare da mantawa da Faransa ba. Duk da haka, shi ne sama da duka yanke shawara na siyasa, don haka da wuya a iya hasashen. Misali, babu wanda zai yi tunanin cewa masu sukar yarjejeniyar 1973 zai iya haifar da jerin abubuwan da suka haifar da yarjejeniyar da aka sabunta na 21 Disamba 2019. Duk da haka, Na kuskura in yi hasashen : yarjejeniyar da aka sake fasalin ba za ta dade ba kafin a sanya shi ko sake duba shi, idan ba a kwantar da sukar ba.

Kalma don ƙarewa

Zan karkare da fata : cewa wata rana ganin kudin da ke nuna ainihin nufin al'umma, a matsayin wani bangare na gyara da kuma sauraron bukatunsu da burinsu.

Production : Damien TOLOMISSI